Strategic risk definition

What is Strategic Risk?

Strategic risk is the probability that an event will interfere with a company’s business model. A strategic risk undermines the value proposition which attracts customers and generates profits. For example, if a company’s business model is to be the low-cost provider of a product and a competitor from a low-wage country suddenly enters the market, the company will find that its value proposition has been destroyed.

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Examples of Strategic Risks

Strategic risk can arise within almost any part of a business. Examples of several strategic risk scenarios are noted below:

  • A new product fails catastrophically, causing customers to take their orders elsewhere.

  • A major acquisition fails, triggering the loss of all invested funds and shareholder lawsuits.

  • A customer gains massive market share and then has an inordinate ability to set prices. The company is now locked into the prices set by the market leader.

  • A supplier gains monopoly control over supplies and raises raw material prices. The company’s costs correspondingly increase, negatively impacting its profits.

  • A key product goes off patent, causing several competitors to jump into the market with competing products.

  • There is a sudden shift in technology that makes the company’s products obsolete, resulting in a massive decline in market share.

  • The contamination of company products with a hazardous substance leads to brand erosion, triggering the sudden loss of many customers.

  • The government changes its tax policy, which eliminates a key pricing advantage built into a firm’s business model.

  • A trade agreement reduces barriers to entry, resulting in a flood of new competitors into the market. The company has to match their prices, resulting in all profits being lost.

  • Company assets are nationalized, resulting in the write-off of those assets and a massive loss.

  • Terrorist attacks reduce sales or destroy property, forcing the company out of the affected market.

Variability of Strategic Risk

The types of risks to which a business is subjected will vary considerably by company, since risk is based on such factors as geography, industry, product type, and employee relations. Thus, the risk mix is unique to every business. For example, a mining company is subject to the risk of a local shutdown by people who object to local pollution issues, while a business in the apparel industry may face a customer revolt over the working conditions of employees at its foreign clothing factories.

Strategic Risk Management

It is possible to develop an organized approach to reducing the impact of strategic risks. The first step is to identify the most likely strategic risks that will impact the business, followed by the assignment of a probability to each one. Part of the analysis should include an estimation of the impact that each of these risks can have on the business. The result should be an emphasize on risks that are both high-probability and high-impact. The next step is to develop a strategy for how to deal with each identified risk, and assign responsibility of each objective within this strategy. Subsequently, management monitors each strategic risk, as well as the mitigating actions being taken for each one.

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